Comments on: My own private Idaho http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/ The unbearable lightness of Lex. Enjoy! Sun, 21 Mar 2010 12:21:03 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Laurie http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/comment-page-1/#comment-5015 Laurie Tue, 18 Apr 2006 05:43:14 +0000 http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/#comment-5015 And here I thought the answer is *always* 42. And here I thought the answer is *always* 42.

]]> By: lex http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/comment-page-1/#comment-4936 lex Fri, 14 Apr 2006 13:01:53 +0000 http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/#comment-4936 Subsunk, I'd appreciate that spreadsheet, although my text book had a few different answers from P(B) on... Rellag - can I get you to teach the course? <em>That</em> finally makes sense ;-) Subsunk, I’d appreciate that spreadsheet, although my text book had a few different answers from P(B) on…

Rellag – can I get you to teach the course? That finally makes sense ;-)

]]> By: Rellag http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/comment-page-1/#comment-4923 Rellag Fri, 14 Apr 2006 00:27:16 +0000 http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/#comment-4923 Let me try presenting #2 in a way that might be more clear to a brown shoe O-6 Miramar, 1986 The hop is a 100 v 100 dissimilar ACM. 200 jets take off. Kenny Loggins soundtrack blares in background. At the merge, it? Let me try presenting #2 in a way that might be more clear to a brown shoe O-6

Miramar, 1986

The hop is a 100 v 100 dissimilar ACM. 200 jets take off. Kenny Loggins soundtrack blares in background.

At the merge, it?

]]> By: Rellag http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/comment-page-1/#comment-409137 Rellag Fri, 14 Apr 2006 00:27:16 +0000 http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/#comment-409137 Let me try presenting #2 in a way that might be more clear to a brown shoe O-6 Miramar, 1986 The hop is a 100 v 100 dissimilar ACM. 200 jets take off. Kenny Loggins soundtrack blares in background. At the merge, it’s complete chaos. 100 engagements, 100 pilots get kills, 100 guys called out of fight. 200 jets land. Everyone walks over to the debrief area, where a tall, attractive, all american blonde directs the winners to sit on the left side of the aisle, and the losers to sit on the right. 100 pilots sit down on the left, the others shuffle over to the empty seats on the right. Her heels click noisily as she paces up the aisle and you consider writing a letter to Proceedings recommending seamed stockings, heels and a flight jacket as a standard sea bag item. She turns and asks the Winners, “How many of you thought you had the advantage at the merge?” 95 hands go up. She turns and asks the Losers, “How many of you thought you had the advantage at the merge?” 75 hands go up. She mutters something under her breath about limitless pilot egos, then says, “Everyone who thought they had the advantage at the merge, get up and stand in the hangar” 95 guys from the Winner section get up, 75 guys from the Loser section get up and shuffle across the flight line. Charlie saucily walks over to the hanger and counts the number of pilots (95+75 = 170). And says “So 170 pilots all thought they had advantage” Charlie then asks these 170 pilots to raise their hand if they got a kill. As expected, 95 guys raised their hand. So Charlie says, “So of the 170 guys who thought they had the advantage, only 95 got kills, or, ….wait for it….. “56%” Substitute “good interview” for “advantage”, “Offer” for “kill”, “Rejection” for “call out” and you’re there. Hope this helps. Let me try presenting #2 in a way that might be more clear to a brown shoe O-6

Miramar, 1986

The hop is a 100 v 100 dissimilar ACM. 200 jets take off. Kenny Loggins soundtrack blares in background.

At the merge, it’s complete chaos. 100 engagements, 100 pilots get kills, 100 guys called out of fight.

200 jets land. Everyone walks over to the debrief area, where a tall, attractive, all american blonde directs the winners to sit on the left side of the aisle, and the losers to sit on the right. 100 pilots sit down on the left, the others shuffle over to the empty seats on the right.

Her heels click noisily as she paces up the aisle and you consider writing a letter to Proceedings recommending seamed stockings, heels and a flight jacket as a standard sea bag item.

She turns and asks the Winners, “How many of you thought you had the advantage at the merge?”
95 hands go up.

She turns and asks the Losers, “How many of you thought you had the advantage at the merge?”
75 hands go up.

She mutters something under her breath about limitless pilot egos, then says, “Everyone who thought they had the advantage at the merge, get up and stand in the hangar”

95 guys from the Winner section get up, 75 guys from the Loser section get up and shuffle across the flight line.

Charlie saucily walks over to the hanger and counts the number of pilots (95+75 = 170). And says “So 170 pilots all thought they had advantage”

Charlie then asks these 170 pilots to raise their hand if they got a kill. As expected, 95 guys raised their hand. So Charlie says, “So of the 170 guys who thought they had the advantage, only 95 got kills, or,
….wait for it….. “56%”

Substitute “good interview” for “advantage”, “Offer” for “kill”, “Rejection” for “call out” and you’re there.

Hope this helps.

]]> By: Subsunk http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/comment-page-1/#comment-4920 Subsunk Thu, 13 Apr 2006 23:00:14 +0000 http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/#comment-4920 CAPT Lex, P(not A) 0.58 P(not B|A) 0.34 P(not B|not A) 0.75 P(B) 0.91 P(not B) 0.09 P(A|B) 0.42 P(not A|B) 0.75 P(A|not B) 0.42 P(not A|not B) 0.58 These assume that the probability of A is not directly related or indirectly related to the probability of B. If these are wrong, you can say the Stupid Nuke was wrong. God I hate myself. Why did I spend time learning this crap? Like Pavlov's dog, when you put the problem in front of me I must solve it. Sorry CAPT. I'm not even sure the answers are right. Just a stab in the dark. Chalk it up to an opportunity to flash my ass in front of lots of folks when I just don't get the opportunity to do much like that anymore. Email me if you want the spreadsheet with the calculations. Subsunk CAPT Lex,

P(not A) 0.58
P(not B|A) 0.34
P(not B|not A) 0.75
P(B) 0.91
P(not B) 0.09
P(A|B) 0.42
P(not A|B) 0.75
P(A|not B) 0.42
P(not A|not B) 0.58

These assume that the probability of A is not directly related or indirectly related to the probability of B. If these are wrong, you can say the Stupid Nuke was wrong.

God I hate myself. Why did I spend time learning this crap? Like Pavlov’s dog, when you put the problem in front of me I must solve it.

Sorry CAPT. I’m not even sure the answers are right. Just a stab in the dark. Chalk it up to an opportunity to flash my ass in front of lots of folks when I just don’t get the opportunity to do much like that anymore.

Email me if you want the spreadsheet with the calculations.

Subsunk

]]> By: Bucky Katt http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/comment-page-1/#comment-4917 Bucky Katt Thu, 13 Apr 2006 21:20:16 +0000 http://www.neptunuslex.com/2006/04/12/my-own-private-idaho/#comment-4917 Dang... You are dregging up memories of STAT 301 classes. Argh! My answer to #2 would have been 0% because Julie is obviously spending way too much time obsessing over other peoples interview performance than getting her own act together. ;-) Dang…

You are dregging up memories of STAT 301 classes. Argh!

My answer to #2 would have been 0% because Julie is obviously spending way too much time obsessing over other peoples interview performance than getting her own act together. ;-)

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